I’ve got this one at about 37-33 in favor of the Chiefs, which means the over is a lock. And I kind of feel the same way about the spread. The Chiefs will continue to put points up on the board, but Andrew Luck can keep up by throwing the ball 50 times. I don’t have a lot of faith in Kansas City’s defense, so I’m pretty certain Indy keeps this one close enough despite some fireworks from Patrick Mahomes.

This is a bad matchup for a Colts defense that has been playing good football of late. The problem? Indy has played zone coverage more than any other team, and Patrick Mahomes has diced up zone coverage all season. Andrew Luck will keep things close but does not have enough help to pull off this upset -- or cover.

Did the Rams really right the ship after some hiccups in December? They won handily against two terrible teams (the Cardinals and 49ers) and struggled against contenders (Bears and Eagles). With that logic, I have to take the points, especially because we know what the Cowboys’ defense is capable of. Ultimately, Sean McVay’s offense will be too much for Dallas, so I’ll go with the over by a hair.

We've seen Jared Goff have some shaky moments against good defenses, and I think we'll see it again here vs. Dallas. The Cowboys' run D has been good all season; they'll slow down Todd Gurley and handle Sean McVay's play-action passing game. Meanwhile, Ezekiel Elliott will have a big game against a suspect Rams defense.

Am I crazy betting against Bill Belichick and Tom Brady at home for a playoff game? Absolutely. But my confidence in Brady and the offense is as low as it’s been. I think this is a low-scoring (take the under!), defensive chess match, something that gives Belichick an advantage. That said, Los Angeles is a dark horse for a reason, and that’s why I’m thinking it’s a win either way by a field goal.

I actually think the Chargers are the better team, but I just can't back them against the Patriots AT HOME. Not with the massive coaching advantage New England will enjoy. The cold weather will benefit the defenses, so take the under.

As I write this, the rational voice in my head keeps shouting THIS IS THE GAME WHERE NICK FOLES’ MAGIC RUNS OUT. But wasn’t it supposed to run out last week? Or the end of this season? Or in last year’s playoffs? And the Saints are the NFL’s best team – they can put up 40 points on the board with ease (hence why I like the over here). Their secondary, however, can be a weakness. So while I’m probably wrong and the Saints will win by 10 as Foles struggles to keep up, I have to buy in one more time and assume the Eagles will cover.

The Saints are the best team in football. They're playing at home. And I just don't see Nick Foles being able to keep up with Drew Brees and Sean Payton in the dome. In fact, I can see New Orleans defense completely shutting down the Eagles offense. New Orleans wins 30-15.