These two teams combined to score 68-plus points per game in 2018. Soooo, yeah. The over is an easy choice here. As for the spread? I’m taking the better team in its comfortable dome home. The Rams’ offense will keep up for only so long before running out of gas, something that happened occasionally in that weird post-bye stretch in December. I like the Saints defense more than I like the Rams’ offering on that side of the ball, and I believe in Drew Brees more than I believe in Jared Goff. Saints 37, Rams 32.

The Saints losing Sheldon Rankins is a blow to the best team in football, but this defense plays better at home. They'll force Jared Goff into a couple of mistakes and Drew Brees will do what Drew Brees typically does at the Dome. New Orleans wins in a blowout. The Rams will score enough to push this one over 56.5. Saints 37, Rams 23.

I will say people are making too big of a deal out of the arctic chill coming to Kansas City this Sunday – it doesn’t mean both teams are suddenly going to stop throwing the ball. But I do think Bill Belichick has plans to keep Patrick Mahomes in check, and the weather will knock a point or two off the board. That’s why I’m taking the under. And as for the pick? I made my mistake last week not believing in Belichick and Tom Brady. I’m not making it again. This is the kind of game we all go into and doubt the Pats, and then they go out and execute the perfect game plan. So I’ll back the Patriots as underdogs, especially because Brady has a ridiculous record in freezing weather.

The Chiefs are the more talented team. By far. But with Brady and Belichick on the sideline, I just can't bet against the Patriots. Belichick will have something cooked up for this explosive offense. He won't shut the Chiefs down, but he will slow them up enough to pull out a victory. Brady should have a big game. The Chiefs pass rush can cause some problems but the Pats o-line is playing at a high level. New England will win that battle, which will be the key to the game.