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College football picks against the spread, Week 4: Colorado-Oregon highlights a slate of ranked matchups

Week 3 didn’t deliver the exact brand of chaos we were expecting with almost every upset scare quickly brushed aside (sorry, Tennessee).

Then again, the reason we were so concerned with the Week 3 slate to begin with was because of everything awaiting in Week 4. Starting Thursday night, we’ll get six ranked matchups along with three more games pitting undefeated FBS teams against each other. It’s another perfect weekend to stay indoors on the couch — and make some money in the process.

Here’s what the FTW crew is rolling with this week as Prince Grimes, Blake Schuster and Caroline Darney look to break a deadlock at the top of the standings.

Name Last Week YTD
Prince Grimes 5-5 22-14
Blake Schuster 7-3 22-14
Caroline Darney 6-4 22-14
Mitchell Northam 7-3 15-15
Matt Scalici 6-4 17-19
Tyler Nettuno 4-6 16-20
Christian D’Andrea 3-7 14-22
Michelle Martinelli N/A 7-9

Clemson vs. No. 4 Florida State, Saturday, Noon ET on ABC

(AP Photo/Phil Sears)

Opening Line: Clemson -2.5

Schuster: Florida State -2.5

The Boston College scare was not great, but every elite team is going to have some bad wins. I don’t see anything from Clemson that lets me believe they can keep up with Florida State on even an average day.

D’Andrea: Florida State -2.5

Clemson? In THIS economy???

Martinelli: Clemson +2.5

I’m not picking Clemson to win much of anything here, but after Florida State struggled to finish off Boston College last weekend, I have my doubts. The Tigers don’t look good by any means, but I have this annoying feeling they’re going to cover at home.

Nettuno: Clemson +2.5

FSU clearly struggled against a horrendously bad Boston College team last week, and Jordan Travis potentially not at 100% is something to watch. Clemson has looked better since a loss to Duke that was flukier than the score showed, and I think a team that’s only lost once at home since 2016 is being counted out far too much.

Grimes: Florida State -2.5

FSU bounces back from last week’s scare in a big way.

Darney: Florida State -2.5

If Jordan Travis were going to be out, I’d be going with a close Clemson win, but I expect FSU to play much better than they did in Chestnut Hill.

Northam: Florida State -2.5

I still don’t totally believe in FSU being a national championship contender, especially after last week’s performance at Boston College, but I absolutely believe they’re a field goal better than “little ol’ Clemson.”

Texas A&M vs. Auburn, Saturday, Noon ET on ESPN

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Opening Line: Texas A&M -8

Schuster: Auburn +7.5

Jimbo Fisher absolutely needs to win this game to cool off his seat a bit. Which is all I need to know to pick Auburn.

D’Andrea: Auburn +7.5.

Look, it’s chaos and disappointment vs. disappointment and chaos. Give me the points.

Martinelli: Auburn +7.5

This game holds so much potential for tremendous ugliness and chaos, but even if Texas A&M wins — kinda don’t think it will — it won’t be by more than a touchdown.

Nettuno: Auburn +7.5

This is going to be a telling game for both teams, but it’s a must-win for Texas A&M. The Aggies have issues that will keep this from being a blowout, but I still think they’re the better team and win a tight one.

Grimes: Auburn +7.5

Not falling for the Aggie okie doke again.

Darney: Auburn +7.5

I just don’t trust Texas A&M.

Northam: Auburn +7.5

This just feels like one of those games that the Aggies blow.

No. 10 Oregon vs. No. 19 Colorado, 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC

Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Opening Line: Oregon -15

Schuster: Colorado +20.5

Even without Travis Hunter, I just don’t see how Oregon wins by more than two scores. Colorado plays with too much pride and aggressiveness to not cover the spread.

D’Andrea: Colorado +20.5

That’s a lot of points to cover on the road against a team the football gods seem especially invested in.

Martinelli: Colorado +20.5

Especially without Travis Hunter, I don’t think the Buffs come out on top. But either way, this spread is way too large for an underdog that’s routinely impressing and surpassing expectations.

Nettuno: Colorado +20.5

I think Oregon wins this game, don’t get me wrong. The Buffs have been a fun story, but they’re also clearly flawed, and this is the first opponent truly equipped to take advantage. Still, this spread is way too big with the Ducks facing such an explosive team.

Grimes: Colorado +20.5

This is a big pressure-filled game for Colorado, but it’s a big game for Oregon too. Take the over.

Darney: Colorado +20.5

No Travis Hunter will be a drag for the Buffs, but I don’t think they’re losing by three touchdowns.

Northam: Colorado +20.5

I think the Fighting Deions finally take an L here, but not by this wide of a margin. Buffs keep it closer than three touchdowns.

No. 11 vs. No. 22 UCLA, Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET on Fox

(AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

Opening Line: Utah -8

Schuster: UCLA +4.5

I’ll take the points for a pretty cohesive Bruins team against a Utah squad still waiting on Cam Rising’s return.

D’Andrea: UCLA +4.5

I choose to learn from the past — in this case the Bruins’ 10-point home win as three-point underdogs to Utah last season — in order to justify my gambling losses.

Martinelli: Utah -4.5

Utah has a difficult schedule ahead of it with so many ranked Pac-12 teams this year, but it’ll win this first one and get revenge from last year’s UCLA loss. Its tough defense will be too much for Bruins quarterback Dante Moore and Co. to overpower.

Nettuno: UCLA +4.5

My pick in this game really comes down to whether Cam Rising makes his debut. The team hasn’t looked great without him, but even if he plays while a bit hobbled, UCLA looks dangerous with new quaterback Dante Moore.

Grimes: Utah -4.5

UCLA has a freshman quarterback going on the road for a big conference battle. I’ll roll with the home side.

Darney: Utah -4.5

If the line was still where it opened, I’d probably go UCLA, but I can get on board with 4.5 points.

Northam: UCLA +4.5

Utah is battling a few injuries and UCLA seems to be riding high with a 3-0 record and having won this game by 10 points last year.

No. 13 Alabama vs. No. 15 Ole Miss, Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS

(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Opening Line: Alabama -15.5

Schuster: Alabama -7

Nick Saban has this team’s back against the wall and I’m not sure anyone praying on the downfall of Alabama is going to like what happens next.

D’Andrea: Alabama -7

Nick Saban’s got a lot of problems with you people (Lane Kiffin) and now you’re gonna hear about it.

Martinelli: Ole Miss +7

Have you seen how dysfunctional that Alabama offense is? Come on. (Watch as this is the game the Crimson Tide get it together…)

Nettuno: Ole Miss +7

This spread is absolutely unhinged and should be reversed. Alabama has legit problems, and this may be the most complete team Lane Kiffin has put together at Ole Miss. He’ll win this game against his mentor outright.

Grimes: Ole Miss +7

Bama looking a little vulnerable these days.

Darney: Ole Miss +7

LET’S GET WILD.

Northam: Ole Miss +7

Typically, this is the week where all the talking Lane has been doing backfires in his face as Nick teaches him a lesson and Alabama reasserts itself to right the ship on the season. But this is not shaping up to be a typical college football season. I think Kiffin gets the last laugh here.

Kansas vs. BYU, Saturday, 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN

(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)

Opening Line: Kansas -7

Schuster: Kansas -8.5

I think this game stays close the whole way with Kansas taking control late. BYU is exploitable through the air and Jalon Daniels throws as beautiful and precise passes as anyone in college football.

D’Andrea: BYU +8.5

The Cougars might be … well, maybe not “good” good, but good enough to hang around in Lawrence.

Martinelli: BYU +8.5

I think Kansas wins this one, but it’s more like by a field goal than more than a touchdown.

Nettuno: BYU +8.5

The Cougs are coming off a big win on the road against an SEC opponent, while Kansas looked a bit sluggish against one of the worst teams in the FBS in Nevada. I think the Jayhawks have enough offensive firepower to win, but it will be close.

Grimes: KU -8.5

I’m rolling with Jalon Daniels.

Darney: BYU +8.5

The “BYU players are old” stuff got wildly taken out of context, but I think the Cougars stay within a touchdown in Lawrence.

Northam: BYU +8.5

And whatever the over is, take it.

No. 12 LSU vs. Arkansas, Saturday, 7 p.m. ET on ESPN

Opening Line: LSU -13.5

Schuster: Arkansas +17.5

The Razorbacks have little trouble putting up points, and they’re going to need plenty of them against LSU. Take the over.

D’Andrea: LSU -17.5

I have genuinely no idea what to think about either of these teams at this point. LSU is capable of greater things. Sure.

Martinelli: LSU +17.5

Jayden Daniels is a star, and after the Tigers’ opening loss to Florida State, I have a feeling they’re going to cruise through the beginning of their SEC schedule, Arkansas obviously included.

Nettuno: LSU -17.5

Arkansas’ only hope is testing a sus LSU secondary, but after Kedon Slovis and BYU put up 38 points on the Razorbacks in their own house, it’s scary to imagine what Jayden Daniels and Malik Nabers will do in this game.

Grimes: LSU -17.5

Night game in Baton Rouge. I suppose LSU should come out fired up enough for a three-score win.

Darney: LSU -17.5

Umm, sure.

Northam: LSU -17.5

… Arkansas might be bad?

No. 21 Washington State vs. No. 14 Oregon State

(Photo by Ali Gradischer/Getty Images)

Opening Line: Oregon State -2

Schuster: Washington State +3

You simply cannot give the Cougs points at home in a Pac-2 Championship Game.

D’Andrea: Washington State +3

Cameron Ward is back on his horse, which is enough for me to take Wazzu and the points whenever possible.

Martinelli: Washington State +3

In a battle between what’s left of a soon-to-be disintegrated Pac-12, Cameron Ward and the Cougars at home all the way.

Nettuno: Oregon State -3

Wazzu is more tested with a ranked win over Wisconsin, and Cam Ward has had a great start to Year 2 on the Palouse, but I think DJ Uiagalelei puts what was already a very solid Oregon State team over the edge.

Grimes: Washington State +3

A whole lot of offensive firepower on the home dog side.

Darney: Washington State +3

The remaining Pac-2 squads square off, and since this is in Pullman, I’m going with the Cougs.

Northam: Oregon State -3

Somewhat quietly, DJ Uiagalelei has been pretty good this year with 10 total touchdowns and nearly 700 yards of total offense in three games, and he has a career-high 9.3 yards per passing attempt. Seeing him win the Battle of the Pac-2 on the same day Clemson gets dog-walked by Florida State would be satisfying.

No. 9 Notre Dame vs. No. 6 Ohio State, Saturday, 7:30 p.m. on NBC

(Photo by Charles McQuillan/Getty Images)

Opening Line: Ohio State -7.5

Schuster: Notre Dame +3

Here’s a fun thought experiment: How many points would Ohio State be favored by if Sam Hartman was a Buckeye and Kyle McCord started for Notre Dame. At least 9.5, right?

D’Andrea: Notre Dame +3

Expect the Irish to ugly this one up, win a rock fight and, subsequently, for Buckeye twitter to get reaaaaal insufferable about Ryan Day’s employment status.

Martinelli: Notre Dame +3

In Ohio State’s first real test, the Fighting Irish are going to expose the Buckeyes’ many problems on offense. Both defenses seems solid so far, but aside from Marvin Harrison Jr.’s magic, Notre Dame is going to capitalize and stifle the Buckeyes, coming away with a close victory.

Nettuno: Ohio State -3

This spread is small enough that I’ll just take the team I think will win, and that’s the Buckeyes. They’re putting it together on offense, and what could be an elite Ohio State defense will be by far Sam Hartman and the Irish’s toughest test.

Grimes: Notre Dame +3

Hartman > McCord.

Darney: Notre Dame +3

Since I have to pick, I’m going with Sam Hartman.

Northam: Notre Dame +3

The Irish are 5-2 against the spread as home underdogs since 2013. I’m riding with the Irish here.

No. 7 Penn State vs. No 24 Iowa, Saturday, 7:30 p.m. on CBS

(AP Photo/Barry Reeger)

Opening Line: Penn State -10.5

Schuster: Penn State -14.5

The Nittany Lions may be up 14 at half the way Drew Allar is playing. I just don’t trust Iowa to keep up.

D’Andrea: Penn State -14.5

All the progress of last week’s 41-point offensive explosion will be undone when Brian Ferentz commands his offense to break down in the huddle, start a campfire and attempt to eat the football like an egg.

Martinelli: Penn State -14.5

No way the Hawkeyes score enough points to match Penn State, much less win or cover. The Nittany Lions are looking like one of the better Big Ten teams again, and this Iowa team just won’t be able to keep up.

Grimes: Iowa +14.5

It feels like an Iowa division title is coming, doesn’t it? The Hawkeyes are only slightly improved on offense, if at all, but a defense that forces turnovers and scores points could put pressure on young QB Drew Allar. Penn State wins, but not by more than two TDs.

Darney: Iowa +14.5

I would’ve hammered Penn State at the opening -10.5, but more than two touchdowns feels a tad too much.

Northam: Penn State -14.5

I’m curious how the Penn State offense will look against Iowa’s defense, but not sure the Hawkeyes will be able to score enough to win this one (or stay within two touchdowns).

Bonus Question: Does Vanderbilt (0-4 ATS) finally cover this week?

(AP Photo/Chuck Burton)

Can the only 0-4 ATS team in the FBS finally break through?

Schuster: LOL NO

D’Andrea: Blake, I must once again kindly ask you to go [redacted] [redacted] [redacted] yourself.

Martinelli: Srsly?

Nettuno: Lol if they couldn’t cover the spread in freaking VEGAS against UNLV, why would they against an SEC opponent?

Grimes: Nah.

Darney: Sadly, no.

Northam: Nope.

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