Four teams separated themselves from the pack during the 2018 NFL season, and the Patriots, Chiefs, Rams and Saints all entered conference championship week with a great chance to capture the Lombardi trophy. According to ESPN’s Football Power Index projections, we may see some familiar matchups late in the playoffs next year.
ESPN released projections for the upcoming season on Thursday, running 10,000 simulations of the schedule to determine the most likely outcomes for each team. Here are the 12 teams with the best shot at winning Super Bowl LIV next February in Miami, per FPI. You can see the full projections here.
T-9. Browns: 3%
2018 record: 7-8-1
Top draft pick: CB Greedy Williams
T-9. Falcons: 3%
2018 record: 7-9
Top draft pick: G Chris Lindstrom
T-9. Packers: 3%
2018 record: 6-9-1
Top draft pick: LB Rashan Gary
T-9. Texans: 3%
2018 record: 11-5
Top draft pick: OT Tytus Howard
T-7. Chargers: 4%
2018 record: 12-4
Top draft pick: DT Jerry Tillery
T-7. Eagles: 4%
2018 record: 9-7
Top draft pick: OT Andre Dillard
6. Bears: 5%
2018 record: 12-4
Top draft pick: RB David Montgomery
5. Colts: 6%
2018 record: 10-6
Top draft pick: CB Rock Ya-Sin
T-3. Rams: 12%
2018 record: 13-3
Top draft pick: S Taylor Rapp
T-3. Patriots: 12%
2018 record: 11-5
Top draft pick: N’Keal Harry
2. Saints: 15%
2018 record: 13-3
Top draft pick: C Erik McCoy
1. Chiefs: 16%
2018 record: 12-4
Top draft pick: WR Mecole Hardman
