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Conner has topped 800 yards rushing just once in his career (2018), and while he’s reliable around the goal line, the Cardinals figure more likely to compete for the No. 1 pick in 2024 than the NFC West title. How often will Conner get the ball if Arizona spends most of the game playing from behind?

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The 32-year-old do-it-all tailback has been a boon for fantasy managers the last few years. That will come to an end in 2023 with the emergence of Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier taking up Patterson’s share of snaps.

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Beckham’s comeback season in Baltimore will be fascinating to watch, but you’ll be able to enjoy it a lot more if your team isn’t depending on him. At 30 years old and three years removed from his last 1000-yard season, you’d be drafting him on name alone.

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It’s hard to feel comfortable trusting Knox as an elite tight end on an AFC contender when the Bills drafted Dalton Kincaid No. 25 overall a few months ago.

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Thielen is now 32 years old and hasn’t eclipsed 1,000 yards receiving since 2018. He’ll provide a nice veteran safety valve for Panthers rookie quarterback Bryce Young, but Thielen’s big-play potential is hampered by a receiving corps that includes DJ Chark, Terrace Marshall Jr., Hayden Hurst and Laviska Shenault Jr.

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Technically No.1 on the Bears’ depth chart, Foreman will have to battle with Khalil Herbert for carries — assuming Justin Fields doesn’t take them all himself.

Best to avoid Chicago’s backfield this year.

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Hmmm, let’s see. The Bengals have Joe Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd and Irv Smith Jr. I’m having a trouble figuring out when Joe Burrow will have time to get the ball to the rookie out of Purdue this season.

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2022 was DPJ’s best season in the NFL with 839 yards a whopping three whole touchdowns. Pass.

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We know Cooks has the speed and skill to burn defenses, but he goes from playing on a worthless Texans team to fourth fiddle on the Cowboys’ offense. His targets will drop behind CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, Tony Pollard and Jake Ferguson.

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Do not be tempted by Sean Payton’s arrival in Denver.

Wilson is not a solid fantasy option. He’s surpassed 4,000+ passing yards just four times in his 11-year career and is coming off a season in which he threw 11 picks for the third time.

Those declines would be worrisome on their own. Now factor in what the rest of the AFC West looks like.

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Montgomery is right on that boom or bust line, but with the Lions picking tailback Jahmyr Gibbs No. 12 overall last spring, it’s pretty clear who will see the bulk of the carrier in Detroit this year.

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The big question here is more about Jordan Love, but you likely weren’t going to draft the young QB anyways. Probably best to stay away from his rather unproven wideout, too, regardless what the depth chart says.

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Sure, CJ Stroud needs someone to throw the ball to, but so did Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford and Ryan Tannehill and none of them were able to find sustained success with Woods.

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Pittman makes the list because of his QB situation, not necessarily his individual skillset. He could catch passes from Gardner Minshew or Anthony Richardson (or both) this year. Do you trust either to effectively get him the ball week after week? Didn’t think so.

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First there are the obvious concerns: Toney has two years in the league and a minimal fantasy impact while playing for both Kansas City and the New York Giants — 591 career receiving yards and two touchdowns in 19 games is ugly.

Making matters worse, Toney opened up training camp by requiring knee surgery. Patrick Mahomes may be his QB, but Toney just isn’t worth the risk until he proves otherwise.

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With Darren Waller in New York, Hooper steps in as TE1 for Las Vegas.

At least until rookie Michael Mayer supplants him in a few weeks.

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Spiller is third on the Chargers’ depth chart for a reason. And in case you were picturing CJ Spiller here, I regret to inform you he has retired and therefore should also not be a draft consideration for you.

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Another familiar name. Another tailback to pass on. Not only is Michel behind Cam Akers, he has just five touchdowns on 779 carries since the start of the 2020 season.

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You see “Braxton Berrios” and “Miami” and instantly think back to his college days tearing it up with the Hurricanes. Just don’t forget he’s buried on a depth chart with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle — and that Berrios has only caught 107 passes total in four seasons with five touchdowns.

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Kirk Cousins already has Justin Jefferson and rookie Jordan Addison at his disposal. He also loves throwing to his tight ends, which makes T.J. Hockenson an ideal option.

From a fantasy perspective, that makes Osborn the odd man out.

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We still don’t know how good Mac Jones is at quarterback. We do know Bill Belichick isn’t afraid to put his tailback depth chart in a blender and distribute carries without any regard for fantasy managers.

Without the Patriots in a position to win many games this year, it all adds up to a busted season for Stevenson.

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New team, same Derek Carr. You can find better QBs out there.

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Similar to KJ Osborn in Minnesota, it’s hard to imagine Campbell having much fantasy value with the likes of Darius Slayton, Isaiah Hodgins and Darren Waller in the huddle.

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Go ahead and tempt fate, if you must, but Rodgers was on a downturn before he left Green Bay and (for fantasy purposes) that train isn’t turning around.

Brett Favre in New York Part II is happening.

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Another familiar name that will stand out on draft boards, but he’s got plenty of competition for consistent carries. D’Andre Swift, Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott — not to mention Jalen Hurts’ running ability — all hamper Penny’s potential.

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Allen Robinson keeps finding himself in the absolute worst situations. First it was a downtrodden Jaguars team. Then he was wasted on a Chicago Bears team that decided to rebuild on the fly.

Now Robinson is in Pittsburgh where his QB options come down to Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky (again). The only thing this guy can’t catch is a break.

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Jennings will be a fun piece of a potentially explosive Niners offense. For fantasy purposes, it hurts his stock a ton that he’ll be competing for touches with Deebo Samuel, Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle.

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Fant was targeted a career-low 63 times last season in Seattle. It’s hard to see that number improving much with rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba joining a receiving corps led by DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.

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Chris Godwin was fantastic when Tom Brady was getting him the ball. It’s beyond foolish to expect the similar production with Baker Mayfield (or Kyle Trask) throwing him passes.

The Tannaissance is over.

Even if we could trust the Titans’ starter to regularly connect downfield, the fact that Malik Willis and Will Levis are clawing their way up the depth chart behind him is not a good look for Tannehill’s fantasy prospects.

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Samuel is still a valuable weapon overall, but as far as fantasy rosters are concerned, Washington runs through Jahan Dotson now.