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College football picks against the spread, Week 9: Oregon-Utah, Colorado-UCLA and more

Behold, the final weekend of the regular season before the College Football Playoff committee releases their inaugural ranking.

After Week 8 provided us with close calls for many of the nation’s top teams — Washington, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Texas and Alabama — the title contenders will have one more chance to make a first impression on the committee.

The initial rankings don’t mean much in the long run, but you’d rather be in the playoff race than out of it at this point. That makes this weekend ripe for more college football chaos.

Let’s make some picks.

Name Last Week YTD
Caroline Darney 5-5 44-39-3
Blake Schuster 4-6 42-41-3
Christian D’Andrea 7-3 40-43-3
Matt Scalici 7-3 37-38-1
Tyler Netunno 7-3 36-47-3
Prince Grimes 2-8 32-51-3
Mitchell Northam 2-8 30-47-3
Michelle Martinelli 5-5 25-38-3

Kansas vs. No. 6 Oklahoma

Opening Line: Oklahoma -10

Schuster: Kansas +10

Whether or not Jalon Daniels is available for Kansas, the Jayhawks are good enough to beat Oklahoma straight up. Jason Bean is no typical back-up given how much playing time he’s seen and KU get the benefit of coming off a bye week. This is a bet on Devin Neal and Daniel Hishaw running the Sooners defense in circles.

Scalici: Kansas +10

Oklahoma nearly got caught sleeping last week against UCF. Will that game serve as a wake-up call or is it a sign of some weaknesses being exposed on the Sooners defense? I’m rolling with the latter.

D’Andrea: Kansas +10

I had a good week last week. Time to ruin it by picking with my heart rather than my head.

Martinelli: Oklahoma -10

The Sooners are coming off a close call against UCF, while Kansas is coming off a bye. But I don’t think the Jayhawks can keep up with that Dillon Gabriel-led offense.

Nettuno: Kansas +10

I don’t have a ton of confidence in the Jayhawks to win, but Oklahoma doesn’t seem built to demolish decent teams.

Grimes: Oklahoma -10

Kansas will hold its own for a little while, but Dillon Gabriel and OU’s offense will be too much over time.

Darney: Oklahoma -10

I wish we knew for sure what the status of Daniels was heading into this game, but I can’t see Oklahoma looking as lackluster again this week as they did last week.

Northam: Kansas +10

The Sooners burned me last week, so I’m rolling with the Jayhawks to cover in a bounce-back effort after losing to the Cowboys. And if Jalon Daniels plays, this spread is definitely too many points.

Florida vs. No. 1 Georgia (In Jacksonville)

Opening Line: Georgia -20.5

Schuster: Georgia -14.5

I don’t feel great about this one given the Bulldogs have struggled against the spread and will now be without Brock Bowers for a few more weeks. I just know I’m going to get crushed by the hook here so if you can bet this below two touchdowns, go for it.

Scalici: Georgia -14.5

I’m still waiting to be convincingly blown away by this Georgia team but I just don’t think Florida’s defense has what it takes to put the Dawgs under pressure.

D’Andrea: Georgia -14.5

I feel like Graham Mertz’s average target distance of two yards downfield is great against Vanderbilt but has a limited shelf life vs. UGA.

Martinelli: Georgia -14.5

The Bulldogs haven’t looked consistently dominant this season, and not having Brock Bowers around for a while surely isn’t a good thing. But Georgia had a week off to adjust without the star tight end.

Nettuno: Florida +14.5

Am I biased? Absolutely. Is this spread far too big considering we haven’t seen what this Georgia team looks like without the best player in the country, Brock Bowers, who the offense is entirely designed around? Also yes.

Grimes: Georgia -14.5

Florida won’t be able to establish a ground game, which will make offense that much harder to come by.

Darney: Georgia -14.5

If this stayed at the opening line, then I’m going with Florida and the points. But this feels like it’s going to be in the 14-17 point range for the Dawgs.

Northam: Georgia -14.5

Florida is 3-4 against the spread this year while Georgia is 2-5. But I think 14.5 points is just right. Georgia has won by double digits six times this season, and I think they do it again coming off a bye week.

No. 13 Utah vs. No. 8 Oregon

Opening Line: Oregon -6.5

Schuster: Oregon -6.5

The Bo Nix Heisman Campaign makes a big statement this weekend and Oregon’s playoff hopes get a huge lift.

Scalici: Utah +6.5

Nightmare situation for Oregon here. Utah is playing its best football of the season and is starting to develop a taste for Pac-12 blood.

D’Andrea: Utah +6.5

Don’t like the Ducks laying points on the road against this defense.

Martinelli: Oregon -6.5

This isn’t overlooking Utah, which has the 14th-best defense right now and coming off an impressive win over USC. This pick is about Dan Lanning and Bo Nix and the Ducks’ College Football Playoff hopes still within reach, and they’ll cover on the road.

Nettuno: Oregon -6.5

I don’t think a team has burned me more than Utah, whether I pick for or against them. So I might as well just take the better team, and that’s the Ducks.

Grimes: Oregon -6.5

Both defenses are solid, but Utah’s QB play isn’t elite enough against Oregon.

Darney: Oregon -6.5

Utah is good!! I just like Bo Nix and the Ducks here.

Northam: Utah +6.5

I might take Oregon if this game was in Eugene, but I think Utah can keep it close after gaining a lot of momentum by beating USC last week.

No. 14 Notre Dame vs. Pitt

Opening Line: Notre Dame -20.5

Schuster: Pitt +20.5

Pitt is having the most unhinged season to the point where I’m more scared to pick. How else do you explain beating Louisville then losing to Wake Forest after teasing that your starting quarterback might switch to tight end?

Scalici: Notre Dame -20.

Despite one shocking exception, I just don’t see this Pitt team being a giant killer this season.

D’Andrea: Notre Dame -20.5

Pittsburgh athletics, be it football, basketball, club roller hockey, whatever, exist solely to disappoint you.

Martinelli: Pitt +20.5

This Pitt team is struggling in a big way this season and have a much bleaker outlook than Notre Dame. The Fighting Irish will win this — probably by a lot, but not by three touchdowns.

Nettuno: Pitt +20.5

Pitt won’t win this game, but it seems to be finding at least something on offense with Christian Veilleux.

Grimes: Pittsburgh +20.5

Notre Dame won’t have an easy time scoring in this one. They’ll win by multiple scores, but not this much.

Darney: Notre Dame -20.5

This is a weird one…has very strong Coastal vibes. Pitt should get absolutely rocked, but if you told me to turn the game on late because Pitt was doing Pitt things, I’d also believe you. Irish defense and Sam Hartman are absolutely good enough to win this by 3 touchdowns, though (and they should).

Northam: Notre Dame -20.5

Pitt’s super-weapon still needs to recharge from the Louisville upset. Be cautious next week, Florida State.

No. 18 Louisville vs No. 20 Duke

Opening Line: Louisville -4.5

Schuster: Louisville -4

Speaking of Louisville loss, I’ll trust the Cardinals to bounce back here and take care of a Duke team that can’t rely on Riley Leonard at the moment.

Scalici: Louisville -4

Riley Leonard just did not look close to his best last week. He might be improving but I think playing on the road at Louisville is not the spot where he’s going to get back into his comfort zone.

D’Andrea: Duke +4

I believe in Riley Leonard, even at 85 percent.

Martinelli: Louisville -4

This Louisville team is perplexing, that’s for sure. But with home-field advantage against the Blue Devils and a not-super-healthy Riley Leonard, gotta go with the Cardinals.

Nettuno: Duke +4

It’s not clear if Riley Leonard is going to play in this one, but the Blue Devils may be the better team either way.

Grimes: Duke +4

Duke’s QB play has been awful lately, and the Cardinals are undefeated at home ATS, but I’m taking anything more than a field goal with this defense.

Darney: Duke +4.5

Big one in the ACC title game race.

Northam: Duke +4

I still think Louisville is a pretender, and I still think Duke has an elite defense.

Colorado State vs. No. 19 Air Force

Opening Line: Air Force -9

Schuster: Air Force -11.5

Is Air Force the best team in the state of Colorado? It sure is.

Scalici: Colorado State +11.5.

We’ve seen what this CSU offense can do against a mediocre-to-bad defense but will they be able to make things happen against a very stingy Air Force unit? I say they keep it close enough to cover.

D’Andrea: Colorado State +11.5

The Rams are good enough to make this a ton of points to lay on the road.

Martinelli: Air Force -11.5

The Falcons are on a roll, still undefeated and in control of the Mountain West. With the top-ranked rushing offense in the nation, they’re going to run all over the Rams. Even on the road.

Nettuno: Air Force -11.5

Colorado State has made some progress this year, but I don’t think the Rams are ready to compete with the class of the Mountain West yet.

Grimes: Air Force -11.5

These teams couldn’t be more opposite, and something tells me Colorado State is gonna get punched in the mouth.

Darney: Air Force -11.5

New Year’s Six Falcons coming to a bowl slate near you soon.

Northam: Air Force -11.5

The Falcons uncork the offensive firepower again after getting down in the mud with Navy last weekend. Expect Air Force to score by air and land.

Kentucky vs.No. 21 Tennessee

Opening Line: Tennessee -3.5

Schuster: Kentucky +3.5

This is a sweet spot for a home underdog after last year’s 56-0 Tennessee win in Knoxville. Ray Davis will have his revenge.

Scalici: Tennessee -3.5

The Vols’ second half collapse against Alabama saw its secondary get victimized by an improving Alabama quarterback and receiver group but Tennessee kept Bama’s running game under control. Unfortunately for Kentucky, running the ball is all they’ve got.

D’Andrea: Tennessee -3.5

 I expect the Vols to play angry after last week’s loss. Their run defense is giving up only 3.0 yards per carry, which is bad news for a Wildcat offense that needs Ray Davis to thrive.

Martinelli: Tennessee -3.5

Idk, man. These teams are weird. This game is weird. But Tennessee has gotta be mad after crumbling against Alabama last week, so they bounce back with a win.

Nettuno: Tennessee -3.5

The Vols looked better on offense despite the loss to Alabama, and I’m really buying this defense right now. They have struggled at times against the run, which is a concern with Ray Davis, but I like Tennessee, even on the road.

Grimes: Tennessee -3.5

Joe Milton will carry the Vols to their first road win ATS. Kentucky is going in the wrong direction.

Darney: Kentucky +3.5

I get weird vibes from this one, especially on the road for the Vols.

Northam: Tennessee -3.5

… Sure?

Wisconsin vs. No. 3 Ohio State

Opening Line: Ohio State -9.5

Schuster: Ohio State -14.5

There’s a chance Ohio State comes out flat after last week’s massive win. Even then, all it takes is two or three plays by Marvin Harrison Jr. to cover the spread and, luckily for the Buckeyes, it seems like his average is five or six ridiculous plays per week. It’s simple math.

Scalici: Ohio State -14.5

Watching Wisconsin’s offense this year gives me Mandela Effect vibes. What universe is this and how can I get back to the one I came from where Wisconsin pounds the running game and physically dominates opponents?

D’Andrea: Ohio State -14.5

Nothing I’ve seen from Braedyn Locke suggests the Badgers can keep pace in this one.

Martinelli: Ohio State -14.5

Look, the Buckeyes aren’t exactly on fire this season, but Wisconsin isn’t anything special this year. Sure, it’s sitting at the top of the Big Ten West, but have you seen who else is in that division?

Nettuno: Ohio State -14.5

It’s a transition year for the Badgers, especially on offense. That doesn’t feel like a recipe for success against arguably the nation’s best defense.

Grimes: Wisconsin +14.5

The Buckeyes will be happy to have TreyVeon Henderson back, but I’ll take the Badgers to keep it close enough for a backdoor cover.

Darney: Ohio State -14.5

This one will be competitive early, then Maserati Marv (I’m sorry) will be the difference for the Buckeyes.

Northam: Wisconsin +14.5

Even for Ohio State, this seems like too many points to spot a home underdog.

No. 23 UCLA vs. Colorado

Opening Line: UCLA -17

Schuster: Colorado +17

This is going to feel like a home game for the Buffs with all the celebrities on the sideline.

Scalici: Colorado +17

Things have been a little too quiet in LA for Chip Kelly’s squad. I think they are due to have some drama.

D’Andrea: Colorado +17

Followed by a tense Deion-Chip Kelly handshake.

Martinelli: Colorado +17

I’m not sure who wins this one, but this game will be a lot closer than that line.

Nettuno: Colorado +17

UCLA is really good defensively, and that should cause problems. But both these teams have been inconsistent, so I expect a tighter game than 17 points.

Grimes: Colorado +17

The contrast in styles will be interesting here, and I fully UCLA’s physicality to win out, but this is too many points.

Darney: Colorado +17

Blake, please stop making me have to figure out what Colorado is going to do on a week-to-week basis. Who knows?

Northam: Colorado +17

The Buffs playing in LA? The stars will be out and Deion Sanders and his team won’t want to disappoint.

No. 12 Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt

Opening Line: Ole Miss -21.5

Schuster: Ole Miss -24.5

They can score really fast and, after last week’s emotional win at Auburn, a good old fashioned curb-stomping is going to feel wonderful for Ole Miss.

Scalici: Ole Miss -24.5

Really unimpressive performance against Auburn last week for Ole Miss, which is a bad sign for their upcoming game against Georgia. Doesn’t mean anything this week. Lane can cover this spread with three quarters of his playbook tied behind his back.

D’Andrea: Vanderbilt +24.5

I will be watching this game in the dark while “It’s So Hard to Say Goodbye to Yesterday” plays on repeat as the money-hungry SEC erases one of college football’s greatest rivalries from the books.

Martinelli: Ole Miss -24.5

Apologies, Commodores.

Nettuno: Ole Miss -24.5

Vanderbilt finally covered a couple weeks ago, but they won’t extend that streak to two against an Ole Miss team that’s just way too explosive.

Grimes: Ole Miss -24.5

I smell a bunch of turnovers and another blowout in Vandy’s future.

Darney: Vanderbilt +24.5

I don’t know, this could be like a three touchdown victory for Ole Miss.

Northam: Ole Miss -24.5

Sorry, Vanderbilt, but no.

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