Oh, Week 12.
Only in college football do big time programs prepare for their final regular season game with a cupcake opponent. Case in point: Alabama playing Chattanooga, Ole Miss lining up against UL Monroe and Georgia facing Tennessee.
Wait, hold on, I’m being told that last one is actually a conference game.
Nonetheless, some of the spreads across the sport this week are out of hand. That doesn’t mean we’ll stop picking against them. On the contrary, it’s time to build up our bankroll before bowl season begins.
Here’s what’s on tap this Saturday:
Name | Last Week | YTD |
Blake Schuster | 4-6 | 58-54-4 |
Matt Scalici | 6-4 | 54-50-2 |
Caroline Darney | 1-9 | 54-58-4 |
Christian D’Andrea | 5-5 | 54-58-4 |
Mitchell Northam | 7-3 | 51-55-4 |
Tyler Nettuno | 6-4 | 51-61-4 |
Michelle Martinelli | 7-3 | 47-45-4 |
Prince Grimes | 1-9 | 45-67-4 |
Maryland vs. No. 3 Michigan
Opening Line: Michigan -19.5
Schuster: Michigan -19.5
I’m officially scared of Michigan now.
Scalici: Michigan -19.5
The Death Cult of the Wolverine has its members ready to spill their own blood for God Emperor Harbaugh.
D’Andrea: Michigan -19.5
The Wolverines love nothing more than a controversy of their own manufacturing. Maryland has covered once in its last five games and it was against Nebraska which, nope, doesn’t count.
Martinelli: Michigan -19.5
The Wolverines passed the first of their two real regular-season tests last week, and they’ll continue riding this woe-is-me, us-against-the-world ultimate victim mentality into College Park, where they should steamroll the Terps.
Nettuno: Michigan -19.5
The Wolverines passed their first actual test with flying colors, and whether the injunction to allow Jim Harbaugh to coach is successful or not, it shouldn’t matter against a Terps team that has really struggled since a 5-0 start.
Grimes: Michigan -19.5
Riding my one hot hand.
Darney: Michigan -19.5
I don’t know, if this was the Maryland of the early season, I’d think about picking them. But, it’s not.
Northam: Michigan -19.5
*looks at calendar* I might’ve picked Maryland to cover if this game was in September — when the Terps apparently have superpowers — but alas, it is not.
Miami vs. No. 10 Louisville
Opening Line: Pick Em
Schuster: Miami -1
Say it with me now: ACC Chaos!
Scalici: Louisville +1
This is so weird and I don’t feel comfortable with it at all. Louisville has everything on the line and I’m going to bet on the Cardinals coming into this game focused and ready, unlike for its inexplicable losses.
D’Andrea: Miami -1
Louisville lost AT PITT. I can’t trust either of these teams. Give me the homefield advantage.
Martinelli: Louisville +1
This one is really a coin toss, and I want to give Miami the benefit of the doubt at home. But the Hurricanes are so chaotic and inconsistent that I don’t trust them to bounce Louisville and snap their losing streak.
Nettuno: Louisville +1
The Cardinals have played much better at home than away from it, but Miami has been very inconsistent, especially on offense, and it feels hard to trust the Canes in a virtual pick ’em.
Grimes: Louisville +1
I would fade me if I were you.
Darney: Louisville +1
Do we know who is playing QB for Miami? Tyler Van Dyke has been really, really not good this year. Louisville really should have lost to Virginia last week (why are you picking up so many flags and not calling obvious PI, ACC refs?).This feels like a very uninspiring all things considered. I will still be watching!
Northam: Louisville +1
This is such a weird line. Sure, Miami put up a fight against FSU last week, but now Tyler Van Dyke is playing quarterback against one of the top 15 defenses in the country.
James Madison vs. App State
Opening Line: James Madison University -11.5
Schuster: JMU -8.5
GIVE JMU A WAIVER YOU NCAA COWARDS!
Scalici: JMU -8.5
This is a team of destiny.
D’Andrea: JMU -8.5
I don’t care what the over is, I’m taking it.
Martinelli: JMU -8.5
Normally, it’s very hard for me to pick against App State, but it has to happen here. The Dukes are too good and are making such a strong argument against arbitrary postseason exclusions.
Nettuno: JMU -8.5
The Mountaineers have hit their stride a bit down the stretch, but no one in the Sun Belt has proven it can play with the Dukes, who should be New Year’s Six bound if not for stupid bureaucracy.
Grimes: JMU -8.5
I don’t know, they seem to win by a lot. Why is Blake making me pick from this game?
Darney: App State +8.5
I think JMU wins, but it’s close. Also, there’s a chance that the NCAA has ruled in the Duke Dawgs’ favor and things get wild.
*Editor’s note: The NCAA did not rule in the Dukes’ favor
Northam: JMU -8.5
The Dukes are ranked in the AP Poll for men’s basketball and football. GameDay is coming to town and Harrisonburg is going to get wild. Stop being cowards and give the Dukes the NY6 bid, playoff committee.
No. 17 Arizona vs. No. 22 Utah
Opening Line: Arizona -1
Schuster: Utah +1
This feels like an impossible game to pick. I’m siding with Utah after how well it held up last week against Washington.
Scalici: Arizona -1
Truly valiant effort from Utah a week ago and really all season but it’s got to start catching up with them eventually and a road game at Arizona might be the place.
D’Andrea: Utah +1
Jedd Fisch deserves coach of the year votes, but Utah has the better team.
Martinelli: Utah +1
This is a good Arizona team creating some fun havoc in the Pac-12, but I trust this Utah defense to hold off the hard-charging Wildcats and bounce back after a tough loss to Washington.
Nettuno: Utah +1
Utah seems to play well against teams built like Arizona is, and while the Wildcats have been red hot recently, they were fortunate to survive against Colorado. This will be a much bigger challenge.
Grimes: Arizona -1
Can Utah just go away? By the way, Arizona is undefeated ATS at home.
Darney: Utah +1
I like this Utah team!
Northam: Utah +1
I think Arizona is good, but Utah is better.
No. 18 Tennessee vs. No. 1 Georgia
Opening Line: Georgia -8.5
Schuster: Georgia -10.5
Tennesee lost by 29 last week to a Missouri team that Georgia defeated by nine. This will be ugly.
Scalici: Georgia -10.5
I would take Georgia giving up twice this many points, even on the road. The Vols look absolutely cooked.
D’Andrea: Georgia -10.5
I saw the Missouri game.
Martinelli: Georgia -10.5
The Bulldogs absolutely look like the No. 1 team right now and are on an upward trajectory — or as upward as it can be for an undefeated team. And Tennessee, after last week, yikes.
Nettuno: Georgia -10.5
How am I supposed to even lie on behalf of the Volunteers after their beatdown at the hands of Missouri and the way the Bulldogs have played the last two weeks?
Grimes: Georgia -10.5
Never picking Tennessee again after last week.
Darney: Georgia -10.5
Tennessee, what happened to you? Even Dolly Parton making an appearance won’t help the Vols enough in this one.
Northam: Georgia -10.5
The Bulldogs are peaking at the right time. The Vols don’t have the talent necessary to stop UGA’s Death Star this year.
No. 25 Kansas vs. No. 21 Kansas State
Opening Line: Kansas State -6.5
Schuster: Kansas +8.5
Every single time it’s looked like KU had a shot against K-State over the last decade or so, the Wildcats have blown out the Jayhawks. Given Kansas doesn’t even know who will be starting at quarterback this week, it’s hard not to think about that history. Still, Lance Leipold has proven at every turn that this program is in a new era. Which means the days of getting steamrolled by State at home should be long gone.
Scalici: Kansas +8.5
The Jayhawks have had some magic at home this season and if Bean is back, they’ll have some more for this rivalry game.
D’Andrea: Kansas +8.5
Lance Leipold is optimistic Jason Bean will be back and 8.5 points is A LOT to lay on the road against a ranked opponent in a rivalry game.
Martinelli: Kansas +8.5
If Jason Bean were healthy, I’d be a lot more confident in taking the Jayhawks here. Lance Leipold might be “optimistic” that Bean can play, but even if he can, is it at a level that can win an in-state rivalry game? Who knows, but in Lawrence, I think Kansas can keep it close against the Wildcats.
Nettuno: Kansas State -8.5
This matchup would have been much more interesting with Jason Bean quarterbacking the Jayhawks. Now, it’s hard to find much confidence at all.
Grimes: Kansas +8.5
It’s kind of freeing leaning into just not really having a clue. Rolling with the fightin’ Blakes.
Darney: Kansas +8.5
I feel like every time I don’t pick Kansas, things go badly.
Northam: Kansas State -8.5
So like, who is playing quarterback for Kansas?
Clemson vs. No. 20 North Carolina
Opening Line: Clemson -11.5
Schuster: Clemson +7
I went back and forth on this one and have decided Dabo wants some more zeroes on his Texas A&M check.
Scalici: North Carolina +7
Dabo’s thoughts may be elsewhere this week…
D’Andrea: North Carolina +7
Two frustrating teams. Take the points.
Martinelli: North Carolina +7
Clemson has looked a little better the last couple weeks and is running one of the best defenses in the country on paper. But even at home, I think Drake Maye and the third-most prolific FBS offense will only be slowed down so much.
Nettuno: North Carolina +7
I don’t feel good about this pick, but that’s a pretty big margin for a Clemson team that has been shaky against a very talented offense.
Grimes: North Carolina +7
Can you tell I’m salty about going 1-9 yet?
Darney: Clemson -7
I don’t trust either of these teams at all!
Northam: UNC +7
Did y’all see how emotional Mack Brown was after that Duke win? Meanwhile, all the talk in upstate South Carolina this week has been about how Dabo didn’t exactly say “NO” when asked about the Texas A&M job. The good vibes are on UNC’s side.
No. 11 Oregon State vs. No. 5 Washington
Opening Line: Washington -2
Schuster: Washington -2.5
Michael Penix Jr. has side-stepped every single scare. The Huskies likely win this one outright, but I’ll be shocked if Washington fans are comfortable at any point during it.
Scalici: Oregon State +2.5
The Huskies have been hanging on for dear life since the Oregon win. The Beavers finally trap them and ruin their perfect season.
D’Andrea: Washington -2.5
The Huskies keep escaping, but that’s Michael Penix’s whole thing.
Martinelli: Oregon State +2.5
This Washington team has a tendency to play at the level of its opponents — for better or worse — and the Beavers are really good. So I expect Michael Penix Jr. to build on his Heisman Trophy campaign while tearing up Oregon State’s defense in a close game, if not earn an outright win.
Nettuno: Oregon State +2.5
The Huskies have been playing with fire in recent weeks, and now they run into a team that I think could make them pay. The Beavers make the CFP race much less interesting with an upset here.
Grimes: Washington -2.5
Rooting for the Huskies to make things hard for the CFP committee.
Darney: Washington -2.5
My colleagues are correct that the Huskies haven’t looked great recently, but they’re a good team and good teams find a way.
Northam: Washington -2.5
While it would be extremely fitting — and funny — if a member of the Pac-2 ended Washington’s playoff hopes, I think Penix and the Huskies find a way to win.
Iowa State vs. No. 7 Texas
Opening Line: Texas -11
Schuster: Texas -7.5
The Longhorns haven’t done nearly enough to impress the playoff committee. They need some more statements and this road game is a perfect opportunity.
Scalici: Texas -7.5
Going with Texas but I am interested to see how the Longhorns look without Jonathan Brooks who is now lost for the season to an ACL injury.
D’Andrea: Texas -7.5
The Cyclones are 5-2 since losing to Ohio. But still. They lost to Ohio.
Martinelli: Iowa State +7.5
Texas still wins this one, but the Cyclones could keep it interesting at home.
Nettuno: Texas -7.5
Iowa State is playing shockingly good football this season, given the circumstances, but I’m willing to give Texas the benefit of the doubt for struggling a bit in Quinn Ewers’ return against TCU.
Grimes: Iowa State +7.5
Damn. This one really stumped me.
Darney: Texas -7.5
No way Glen Powell releases that Men’s Health cover shoot and the Longhorns lose. No way.
Northam: Iowa State +7.5
I don’t really feel good about this pick, but the Cyclones are at home and they’re 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
USC vs. UCLA
Opening Line: USC -12
Schuster: USC -6.5
At least Caleb Williams goes out on a win.
Scalici: USC -6.5
Despite last week’s drubbing, the Trojans have held things together better than I expected during this disaster of a season and have finally met a team having problems of their own.
D’Andrea: USC -6.5
Ah yeah, that’s a nice place for this line.
Martinelli: USC -6.5
The Trojans are down bad after losing four of their last five, but UCLA really isn’t doing much better and it sounds like Chip Kelly’s days are numbered. With that hanging over his head (and the players’), USC should be able to cover.
Nettuno: USC -6.5
The Bruins seem to be falling off, and this probably would have been my pick before we learned that Chip Kelly likely knows his time in Los Angeles is done after this game.
Grimes: USC -6.5
Finally, a game the Trojans can win.
Darney: USC -6.5
This is really the only place the line could be where I’d take the Trojans. Defense is still bad! UCLA is having their own issues!
Northam: USC -6.5
The Trojans need a win. They’ll get it against a team that saw rumors surface this week about its head coach getting canned.